Dan Sabbagh
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They were at the cutting edge of TV recording when they were launched on a wave of publicity just 14 months ago.
But anyone who splashed out £450 on a state of the art HD-DVD high definition player could soon be counting the cost.
Comprehensively outsold by the Sony-developed rival Blu-ray, the Toshiba-backed player is heading for irrelevance, amid growing expectation that its Japanese manufacturer will abandon the technology within days.
An estimated 50,000 HD-DVD players have been sold in Britain — although Toshiba will say only that sales across Europe total 200,000 — as have about 275,000 films. Blu-ray, though, has built up an unassailable lead, with a little over 800,000 films sold in Britain since both technologies were launched. A similar pattern has been repeated globally.
Toshiba insisted yesterday that “no decision had been taken”, although private briefings in Japan indicated that the cave-in would come later this week. In Tokyo, Toshiba shares rose by 6 per cent, in the hope that it can save $450 million by walking away from its white elephant.
The result is mostly good news for British consumers, except those who bought the equipment. Michael Briggs, principal researcher at Which?, said: “If you haven’t yet bought a high-definition DVD player there is now no more confusion over which format to choose — only Blu-ray remains.” That is expected to lead to a substantial growth in high-definition sales.
Woolworth’s is to stop selling HD-DVDs from early March because customers bought Blu-ray, which outsold its rival “by about ten to one” over Christmas.
Five Hollywood studios back Blu-ray, after Warner Brothers said that it would switch to the format at the beginning of the year, leaving HD-DVD owners only with films from Universal, the King Kong studio, and Paramount, home to Transformers.
Alan Wilson, from Romford Home Theatre, a consumer electronics store, which promoted the HD-DVD format heavily online, said: “Warner decided the format war. We sold a lot of HD-DVDs in the early days, but in the last year there was a bit of a stalemate. It’s a shame: you can’t knock HD-DVD in terms of quality.”
Toshiba said yesterday that the players remained “far from useless,” with a library of 800 films available. Its HD-DVD players can help conventional DVD players to “scale up” and play films in near-high-definition quality, and with prices as low as £149 they remain far cheaper than their Blu-ray equivalents. A PlayStation3 with Blu-ray built in costs £279.99.
Blu-ray won because Sony built the player into the PlayStation3 games console. Although Toshiba had support from Sony’s games rival Microsoft, HD-DVD was not built into the Xbox 360, meaning that it was not a default purchase. In America, Blu-ray films are outselling HD-DVD releases by at least four to one; most weeks two thirds of players sold were Blu-ray devices. Blu-ray has built up a similar lead in Japan.
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Blu-ray may never replace DVD but now there is one HD format more people will purchase it now and then the players and media prices will reduce. Blu-ray will fill the gap for HD films before downloading becomes the norm as there isn't a universal 'easy' way of downloading films. Xbox 360 use WMV HD then you have the Matroska MKV format but you still need a device like a PC/Media PC or Network Media Streamer under your TV. Microsoft could do quite well here as the Xbox 360 is probably the easiest way of downloading HD content, one box connected to the Internet and your TV. And there is the problem with your broadband download allowance. Download a couple of films and you use up your allowance for the month!
Also, a Blu-ray profile 1.0 player will always be capable of playing the film and any basic extras. The other profiles (Bonus View/1.1 and BD-Live/2.0) have been designed for furture enhanced extras only.
Andrew Smith, London, England
I couldn't ever see either format taking the place of standard DVD. The future of film is downloads, the exact route that music has taken. Most consumers aren't ready to rebuild their film collection in a new format, changing from video to DVD was expensive enough.
The benefits gained from BlueRay aren't that great, just get an upscaling dvd player and await the film download revolution. Let Sony sell their expensive featureless BlueRay discs to PS3 owners.
Simon, Derby, England
Sony may celebrate the success of BluRay for the moment, but I have a feeling it won't take off in the way standard DVD did. With constantly increasing broadband speeds the world is gradually moving towards the day when internet distribution of high quality films becomes the norm.
There will be no need for physical media.
Standard DVD is probably the last physical format to sell in huge quantities.
A similar thing happend with music.
SACD and DVD-Audio may be higher quality than CD but with many people downloading music these days, legally or illegally, neither format stood a chance of replacing CD.
CD survives because it established itself and achieved critical mass before internet distribution of music became feasible. DVD achieved its mass at about the time internet users were moving from 56k dial-up to 256k broadband - speeds that were not suited to movie distribution.
I would love to eat my words but I feel BluRay has arrived too late.
Sean, Surrey, UK
Blu-Ray won because:
The name is much "cooler" than HD-DVD
It is technologically superior
It has a greater data capacity
It was included in Playstation 3s.
richard mullens, London, Europe
certainly not a mistake on microsofts behalf, what if this still happened even though microsofts were built in?
At least theres the possibility of going either way with an addon.
nathan, leicester, uk,
"This was inevitable, as BluRay is the more technically accomplished format that is far better placed to take the home cinema market forward for the next ten years. HD-DVD was merely a stop-gap measure, a minor upgrade, with nothing very exciting on its horizon - BluRay is already more advanced and has far greater potential in the future."
BluRay and HD-DVD output the same HD pictures, both capable of 1080p picture and Dolby Digital True sound (or Similarly named) The HD DVD format was cheaper, its Features such as picture in picture were available first, while Blu-ray's BDJava has remained un finalised, The film 300 shows this with the HD-DVD format having a full set of features while the Blu-ray has none.
First generation HD-DVD players provided Ethernet ports and internal memory for firmware upgrades, while owners of first gen Blu-ray players will be disinfranchised, and there players will no longer work with the final profile.
I think the ps3 swung it.
Jamie, London,
Tony, I think the problem would have been that if MS built the HD-DVD drive into the xbox from the outset then it would have either increased price or delayed release..being cheaper and earlier were the two main factors that allowed the Xbox to steal some market share from Sony. So maybe it would have given HD-DVD a stay of execution due to a larger installed base.
But ultimately we would still have had the status quo of two similar but incompatible formats being sold.
To my mind good riddance HD-DVD, I didn't really care who lost as long as one of you went away so that we don't have to play the VHS vs Beta game again.
Wayne Stallwood, Bury St Edmunds, UK
This was inevitable, as BluRay is the more technically accomplished format that is far better placed to take the home cinema market forward for the next ten years. HD-DVD was merely a stop-gap measure, a minor upgrade, with nothing very exciting on its horizon - BluRay is already more advanced and has far greater potential in the future.
Peter Morgan, Holywood, UK
If only the xbox 360 had the hd DVD drive built in, I think that hd DVD would of won the war. Well done microsoft you make anouther mistake! Sorry Toshiba
Tony, London, England