Bronwen Maddox: World Briefing
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Some gesture towards progress had to be constructed to greet President Bush's arrival today in the Middle East, even though the chances of real movement in his remaining seven months are small. The one that Tony Blair offered yesterday - the lifting of some travel and trade restrictions in the northern West Bank - is not vacuous. Blair was careful not to claim that his scheme had dramatic, transforming potential, striking the right tone in a region where anything but pessimism invites ridicule.
But the target of this intended regeneration - the troubled town of Jenin - is one of the least propitious places in the West Bank in which to launch this experiment, which goes to the heart of Blair's brief as an international special envoy: to see whether boosting the Palestinian economy in tiny steps can improve the chances for peace.
The limitations of the plan as it is set out, and Israeli officials' hesitancy about whether they would actually implement it, strip it of much potential force. Even more important is the question of whether Blair's mission itself still makes sense or whether the Palestinian economy is so shattered that it cannot recover in the absence of significant political progress.
The centrepiece of his scheme is the Palestinian town of Jenin, an over-resonant name since the violent clash, lasting more than a week, between its inhabitants and Israeli security forces in their April 2002 crackdown on the West Bank. In the December 2005 local elections, the Islamist group Hamas won more seats than the moderate Fatah. On Sunday Salam Fayyad, the internationally respected Palestinian Prime Minister, toured the district (surrounded by a posse of black-clad commandos) to try to convince residents of the sucess of his Government's security drive.
Blair said that Jenin would be the heart of a new development zone, where Israeli security restrictions would be partially lifted to try to boost businesses. Plans for such a zone, which in theory could offer 14,000 jobs, have been paralysed since 1997.
Israel has also agreed to remove four checkpoints along the length of the West Bank, and ease restrictions on eight others. The agreement, finalised yesterday between Israel and the Palestinian Authority, is the most high-profile announcement of Blair's 11-month tenure as envoy for the Quartet - the United Nations, European Union, United States and Russia.
However, an Israeli army spokesman said many of the changes would be implemented only “in the future” and on condition that Israeli security would not be jeopardised. One checkpoint, at Beit El near Ramallah, would be moved only “once Israel determines the security situation so allows”. Blair had initially presented Israel with a list of 12 checkpoints or other barriers that he wanted lifted but that was rejected.
There are about 500 Israeli roadblocks or checkpoints in the West Bank, as well as a system of permits for travel and for work, which limit severely the movement of Palestinians between the towns of the West Bank, and have choked off economic activity. Israel insists that they are necessary to protect its people in Israel and the West Bank settlements from attack.
Blair's plan is a test of two principles. First, that Israel agrees with him that “step by step, we will lift these checkpoints and restrictions”. It is far from clear that it does. Secondly, of whether yesterday's microsteps can make inroads into militancy, given the support Hamas has won, not just in Gaza but on the West Bank. Expectations cannot be high.
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Vickie, read the documents. The Oslo agreements were never implemented. The Beirut Summit of 2002 offered Israel Pan-Arab recognition. Israel never replied. Israel has never agreed to withdrawing to the 1967 borders. In 2000, after Sharon's walk, 1900 Palestinians were shot in five days.I.e.terror
Peter, Rome, Italy
what don't people understand?
hamas does not want peace
hezbollah does not want peace
iran does not want peace
israel wants peace---the only way she remains a jewish state is to have peace and a palestinian state created
but she-has no partner to make peace with
robert, stamford, united states
Hamas encourages rocket attacks on Israel - the retaliation gives them more power. They don't want peace - they want the whole of Israel and they have enough supporters on the West Bank willing to blow themselves up for the same reason.
Give peace a chance, for God's sake. There's no other way.
leila, manchester, uk
"n a region where anything but pessimism invites ridicule."
You mean in Europe?
Toby, USA,
It's Oslo all over again. An agreement is brokered. The fine print says the 'implementation' is arbitrary. What is to be done,may be done, in the future. There is a new Orwellian word in the lexicon for this, a 'shelf agreement'. What one undertakes to do can be cancelled at whim, under pretexts.
Peter, Rome, Italy
The Palestinians might get somewhere by emmulating Israel's decision to accept Partition in 1947 leaving it in control of just predominantly Jewish areas. Had Israel held out for maximalist borders the state would have never existed.
MARK KLEIN, M.D., OAKLAND, USA
Cannot believe she's implying it's just Israel's fault. Its simple - they don't remove the checkpoints because they don't want to be bombed. How can you criticise that? The only way to bring about peace would be to have the rest of the Middle Eastern countries let go of their extreme prejudices
Joanna G, Glasgow,
Mr Blair, like all rich Socialists is a Utopian. Just like Omama, he believes we can ' get above politics ', ' perfect ' people ', talk to the animals etc. Sorry Dr Doolittle! Everyone is open to dialogue, even as your head is being separated from your body.
Desmond Taylor, Houston, USA Tx
Winning arguments in the western press won't save Israel. Only three outcomes are possible: a full SC242 implementation; a unitary, democratic and non-sectarian polity, or in time the doom of this state which now is a rejected cancer in the Middle East.
tarquinis, Seattle, USA
Peace would be breaking out all over the Mid East if only Israel "allowed it". Of course, Maddox has nothing to say about the Pali's bombing their own border crossings to prevent aid coming thru - or the countless times Israel removed checkpoints - only to reinstall them when bombers took advatage..
Sam Green, Modi'in, Israel
Peter, why spoil beautiful theory with facts: twice in the last 15 years Palestinians had a chance to independence & economic prosperity: in 1995 & 2000. Israel agreed to withdraw to 1967 for a complete peace agreement. The answer was terror & more terror. Why blame us for their "wise" decisions?
Vickie, TA,
It is not only Israel that has to allow this small advance.
One or two terrorist bombs, smuggled through the newly created access ,by either Hamas,Hezbollah or any other organisation would bring it to a halt.
robert everitt, wolverhampton,
Amazing how other reader comments basically suggest the present situation with Israel changing the facts on the ground with an ever increasing amount of settlements on Palestinian land and the choking of the Palestinian people and economy is a better alternative !!!
Karim A. , Geneva, Switzerland
I.e.No significant economic development in the Occupied Palestinian Territories will be permitted while Israel perceives a terrorist threat. As de facto annexation proceeds, Palestinians in shantytowns must watch with patient tolerance beautiful new Israeli settlements burgeon on their land..
Peter, Rome, Italy
Israel is always asked to pay the price of failed Palestinian experiments. But to show god faith to the world, it will do so again. Hopefully, the Jenin experiment will prove new maturity on the part of the Palestinian Authority. If suicide bombers slip through, there won't be more chance.
Darren White, L. A. , USA
Strange that the author puts the onus on the nation that is receiving missile attacks nearly every day.
Jill, Tucson, USA
Forget Blair's rediculous request to open up Jenin and the West Bank. The last time Israel allowed that to happen the Palestinians sent dozens of suicide bombers in Jerusalem and all over Israel.
If you want real progress for the Palestians then move all of them into Jordan and build new cities.
Richard, Nashville, USA
Lets remember the Palestinians had full control of West Bank Area A (all major cities) and billions of dollars in aid under the Oslo "peace" agreements. What destroyed this short-lived autonomy and prosperity? Corruption, Arafat's 2nd Intifada and Hamas suicide bombers, not Israeli checkpoints!
Steve S, L.A., USA