Gary Duncan, Economics Editor
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Activity in Britain’s construction sector slowed last month for the first time since the end of 2001, with overall activity levels dropping as the housing market and commercial property downturns deepened, new figures showed today.
A fourth month in a row of declining activity in the housebuilding sector was the key factor behind the construction industry’s plight, according to the latest CIPS purchasing manager’s survey of conditions.
The CIPS headline index of construction activity tumbled to 47.2 for last month, down from a February reading of 52.4 to its lowest level since November 2001. Any figure under 50 indicates decline.
Economists sounded warnings that the figures signalled the construction sector probably now faces a prolonged slump, as homebuilders and developers confront much tougher times in the latest blow to a worsening economic outlook.
“With the commercial property sector in dire straits and the housing market cooling markedly, there is a very real danger that the construction sector could be in for an extended hard time. This adds to the downward pressures facing the UK economy,” Howard Archer, of Global Insight said.
He noted, however, that in constrast with the United States, where the construction industry is a significant sector of the economy, and its downturn has helped undercut growth prospects, in Britain construction sector accounts for some 6 per cent of GDP.
The plight of the UK’s construction industries was emphasised by the detail of today’s CIPS survey.
In commercial construction, the CIPS gauge of outstanding workloads fell from 52 to 45, the lowest in the survey’s 11 year history and the first time that workloads have declined since December 1998.
Within the sub-sectors tracked by CIPS, only civil engineering showed continued expansion in activity.
There data also added to the Bank of England’s headache over rising inflationary pressures, showing that construction group’s costs for materials rose at the fastest pace for 40 months during March
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Well, well, well.. that's that then. Just picking up on Gordon from Reading's comment - the worst thing that ever happened to housing in the U.K. was successive governments (most notably Tory) suppressing the number of homes local authorities could build. We should reverse that now by embarking on a large scale programme of publicly-owned (or part owned) house building. But - we should look to Scandanavia or Germany for our city and town planning, not just kowtow to the greedy developers or bow to the selfishness of the nimbies. If a private developer want to build, it should be as part of a city-wide development project, with the local authority / national goverment in the driving seat.
Don Craigton, Wakefield, U.K.
Could we now put the builders to better use then lining greedy developers pockets who only build for massive profit, and maybe get some social housing or low cost homes built.
If we have a housing shortage and an affordability crisis, can't the government start building homes and price them for the forthcoming crash in house prices ? Cheaper houses, lower mortgages.... better standard of living. Oh, and a buy product would be maintaing employment in the sector.
Never understood why the government doesn't become a housing developer themselves. By maintaining half ownership in anything it builds, homes can be supplied at a lower price to those that need it, and also the government keeps assets on its books should it ever need to sell off property like in the 80's 'Right to Buy' era.
Gordon, Reading,
We rely less on construction than the US BUT our economy relies far more heavily on what is associated with the housing market i.e. legal, surveyors, estate agents etc. They have other elements to their economy i.e. they make things.
Trevor, UK,
Constrution slows in the UK? Sir? Did it ever pick up?
Fabio C, London, UK
Actualy, I think I got it. They where building 10 houses per year and now they are building only 5. Yes, it makes sense now.
Fabio C, London, UK
Every day I hear people saying about the housing shortage in the UK and how this will support house prices. I suppose this piece of news put that theory to bed. Why would constructors stop building if there was such demand. Oh that's right, people can't afford mortgages anymore. So either house prices fall or banks open the credit taps again. I know what my money is on. Good luck if you are leveraged.
Edward, London,